Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.9%Mississippi Valley State

94.1%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -1595

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 65

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreAlabama State 85

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricAlabama State

17.7MMH Power Index38

91.1Offensive Efficiency101.7

117.8Defensive Efficiency107.4

-26.7Net Efficiency-5.7

-4.1Strength of Schedule-6.2

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.5Tempo71.9

45.8%Effective FG%48.2%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-18.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–17.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–91.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.8), net efficiency (-5.7–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.2).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

55—84

Alabama State

Alabama State by 29 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATAlabama State

20-57FG28-56

35.0%FG%50.0%

2-163PT8-18

13.0%3PT%44.0%

13-15FT20-26

87.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists14

16Turnovers8

5Steals9

—Blocks3

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Alvin Stredic	Forward	40	7-13	0-0	7-9	9	0	0	21
Donovan Sanders	Guard	40	4-14	0-5	2-2	4	2	2	10
Arthur Tate	Guard	17	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	7
Kendal Parker	G	20	3-8	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	6
Greg Moore Jr.	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	3
Jair Horton	F	26	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	2
Antonio Sisk	G	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	2
Darrion Salery	C	11	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	2
Raeshun McGregory	Guard	6	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
George Ivory III	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
Markell Petro	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Octave	G	28	6-9	2-4	0-0	9	1	2	1	14
CJ Hines	G	26	4-6	0-0	6-6	3	6	0	0	14
Amarr Knox	G	30	4-10	1-4	4-4	0	3	3	0	13
Micah Simpson	G	17	4-6	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	10
Jalen Keago	G	19	4-9	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	9
JaSteven Walker	F	10	3-7	2-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	9
TJ Madlock	Guard	34	1-5	0-1	4-4	7	2	3	0	6
D'Ante Bass	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	4
Tyler Mack	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	17	0-1	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	1	2
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jordon Marshall	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

84.9Offensive Efficiency129.6

129.6Defensive Efficiency84.9

-44.8Net Efficiency44.8

36.8%Effective FG%57.1%

42.9%True Shooting %61.4%

24.6%Turnover Rate12.4%

26.3%Free Throw Rate46.4%

28.1%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.