Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Idaho State

79.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -398

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Colorado

45.9MMH Power Index53.7

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.4Net Efficiency8.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

67.1Tempo71.1

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Idaho State

92—93

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 1 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

35-64FG36-58

55.0%FG%62.0%

11-253PT4-16

44.0%3PT%25.0%

11-17FT17-25

65.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists22

16Turnovers15

8Steals7

4Blocks3

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	39	7-19	3-10	5-8	2	7	1	0	22
Jake O'Neil	Guard	36	9-12	2-2	1-2	8	3	4	0	21
Isaiah Griffin	F	37	9-16	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	1	20
Connor Hollenbeck	F	39	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Evan Otten	F	22	2-2	0-0	3-5	6	0	0	3	7
AJ Burgin	Guard	18	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Blake Daberkow	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jackson Greene	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jaedyn Brown	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quentin Meza	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	42	13-15	1-1	0-2	4	8	1	1	27
Brock Wisne	F	38	10-13	0-0	1-3	3	3	1	0	21
Jaron Rillie	Guard	39	6-8	1-3	2-2	7	8	3	0	15
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	31	2-7	0-3	8-8	6	0	2	1	12
Zach Bloch	G	37	1-5	0-4	6-10	2	0	0	0	8
Marcell McCreary	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	1	5
Taeshaud Jackson	F	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Quinn Denker	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Egan Shields	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
William Humer	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

118.7Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency118.7

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

63.3%Effective FG%65.5%

63.8%True Shooting %66.5%

20.8%Turnover Rate19.3%

26.6%Free Throw Rate43.1%

39.1%3-Point Rate27.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.47

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.