Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Southern Miss

55.2%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -123

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 78

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricOld Dominion

49.9MMH Power Index47.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

1.2Net Efficiency-2.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule-0.1

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

70.4Tempo70.9

49.9%Effective FG%50.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

43.9%Free Throw Rate35.2%

0.9Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–47.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–109.8), net efficiency (1.2–-2.4), offensive rebounding (32.3–26.1).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.4–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.1–-0.2), recent form (4.1–3.8).

Final

Southern Miss

71—74

Old Dominion

Old Dominion by 3 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATOld Dominion

23-51FG25-54

45.0%FG%46.0%

10-193PT2-17

53.0%3PT%12.0%

15-23FT22-29

65.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists16

16Turnovers12

8Steals9

3Blocks—

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Curbelo	Guard	30	7-16	3-6	2-2	3	8	2	0	19
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	34	7-11	0-0	3-4	8	2	3	1	17
Christian Watson	G	35	4-9	3-4	5-8	6	1	1	0	16
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	34	3-4	3-3	2-4	2	0	0	0	11
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	12	2-6	1-3	3-3	4	1	1	0	8
Brewer Carruth	G	28	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Christian Reid	Guard	16	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	2	0
Jose Benitez	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robert Davis Jr.	G	36	6-13	2-8	4-4	1	4	2	18
Sean Durugordon	Guard	33	4-12	0-4	8-11	9	0	4	16
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	28	3-4	0-0	6-9	8	0	0	12
Stephaun Walker	F	20	5-7	0-2	1-2	4	1	0	11
Jaden Johnson	G	39	3-10	0-2	1-1	3	9	1	7
R.J. Blakney	Forward	28	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	6
Caden Diggs	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Ben Nacey	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Vytautas Zygas	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Dani Pounds	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

54.9%Effective FG%48.1%

57.3%True Shooting %54.6%

23.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

45.1%Free Throw Rate53.7%

37.3%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.81Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.