Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Abilene Christian

91.4%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -17.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -1063

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 65

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 82

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricUtah Valley

42.4MMH Power Index59.1

101.1Offensive Efficiency113.4

104.1Defensive Efficiency97.3

-3.0Net Efficiency16.1

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

69.6Tempo70.6

48.9%Effective FG%56.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-2.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–42.4), offensive efficiency (113.4–101.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–104.1), net efficiency (16.1–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-3.3), free throw rate (42.0–37.3).

Final

Abilene Christian

53—64

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 11 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATUtah Valley

19-59FG23-49

32.0%FG%47.0%

1-103PT1-9

10.0%3PT%11.0%

14-22FT17-26

64.0%FT%65.0%

41Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists17

19Turnovers17

10Steals9

5Blocks10

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	34	6-17	0-1	4-5	7	3	2	1	16
Bradyn Hubbard	F	29	5-12	0-1	6-7	7	0	2	0	16
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	22	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Rich Smith	G	18	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Dontrez Williams	G	16	1-3	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	1	4
Yaniel Rivera	G	21	1-4	1-2	0-0	4	3	2	0	3
Jack Sawyer	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Leonardo Bettiol	F	16	0-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	1
Cade Hornecker	F	19	0-6	0-3	0-2	3	2	0	1	0
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	18	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Colby Tanner	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	30	6-9	0-1	4-5	7	2	1	2	16
Kylin Green	G	19	3-6	1-2	4-6	5	3	1	0	11
Carter Welling	F	19	3-7	0-0	3-7	6	1	1	3	9
Osiris Grady	F	19	3-5	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	1	8
Jackson Holcombe	G	13	3-5	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	2	7
Hayden Welling	F	12	3-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Ethan Potter	F	16	1-3	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	1	3
Trevan Leonhardt	G	30	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	7	4	0	2
Tanner Toolson	G	20	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Cory Wells	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Noah Taitz	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

73.1Offensive Efficiency88.3

88.3Defensive Efficiency73.1

-15.2Net Efficiency15.2

33.1%Effective FG%48.0%

38.2%True Shooting %52.2%

25.9%Turnover Rate23.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate53.1%

16.9%3-Point Rate18.4%

0.68Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.