Little Rock logo

Little Rock

12-20
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
14.4%Little Rock
85.6%Tennessee State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADTennessee State -13.0
PROJECTED TOTAL151.6
MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -594
Tennessee State logo

Tennessee State

23-10
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69
Projected Total151.6
Projected ScoreTennessee State 82

Team Comparison

44MMH Power Index55.4
103.0Offensive Efficiency110.9
108.2Defensive Efficiency102.7
-5.2Net Efficiency8.2
0.5Strength of Schedule-3.1
-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7
68.5Tempo72.4
50.3%Effective FG%50.9%
18.7%Turnover Rate17.0%
32.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%
28.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%
-3.6Average Margin5.9
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.9–103.0), defensive efficiency (102.7–108.2), net efficiency (8.2–-5.2).
Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.1).
Final
Little Rock logo
Little Rock
86—95
Tennessee State logo
Tennessee State
Tennessee State by 9 • 82.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATTennessee State
30-68FG29-63
44.0%FG%46.0%
6-203PT8-22
30.0%3PT%36.0%
20-30FT29-38
67.0%FT%76.0%
39Rebounds42
16Offensive Rebounds14
13Assists18
16Turnovers16
9Steals9
3Blocks6
27Fouls24

Player Box Score

Little Rock
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Ante BeljanF3511-190-011-12111100033
Johnathan LawsonG385-173-103-646200016
Mwani WilkinsonGuard324-113-61-280120012
Travonne JacksonG282-60-12-63100006
Isaiah LewisG232-60-22-24430006
Kristiyan PopovGuard213-40-10-02111006
Caleb PennyfeatherF142-40-01-21000005
Christian HughesG91-10-00-01010002
Tennessee State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Travis Harper IIG305-154-106-732200020
Ronald JessamyF297-90-02-5121130016
Brandon WestonGuard294-101-26-7103110015
Knute WoodGuard273-63-51-226200010
Carlous WilliamsF293-60-13-43121009
Justus JacksonGuard182-60-34-40200008
Aaron NkrumahG211-50-15-64310007
Josh OgundeleF63-40-01-12000007
Antoine Lorick IIIF111-20-01-23001003

Advanced Game Stats

82.7Possessions82.7
104.0Offensive Efficiency114.9
114.9Defensive Efficiency104.0
-10.9Net Efficiency10.9
48.5%Effective FG%52.4%
52.3%True Shooting %58.6%
19.5%Turnover Rate19.3%
44.1%Free Throw Rate60.3%
29.4%3-Point Rate34.9%
0.81Assist / Turnover1.13
Game Summary
Tennessee State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 82.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.