Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.2%Western Illinois

88.8%Eastern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Illinois -14.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Illinois -793

Eastern Illinois

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 62

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 77

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricEastern Illinois

25.9MMH Power Index39.9

96.2Offensive Efficiency99.6

113.9Defensive Efficiency104.4

-17.7Net Efficiency-4.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-2.4

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.5Tempo67.4

45.4%Effective FG%47.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate33.7%

-11.9Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Eastern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEastern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.9–25.9), offensive efficiency (99.6–96.2), defensive efficiency (104.4–113.9), net efficiency (-4.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.5), free throw rate (37.5–33.7).

Final

Western Illinois

75—67

Eastern Illinois

Western Illinois by 8 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATEastern Illinois

28-54FG24-59

52.0%FG%41.0%

12-203PT2-17

60.0%3PT%12.0%

7-10FT17-22

70.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists14

16Turnovers12

6Steals9

7Blocks5

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marko Maletic	Guard	34	8-17	7-10	2-2	5	1	0	0	25
Ryan Myers	G	39	5-14	4-7	1-2	5	5	0	0	15
Sean Smith	G	38	6-11	1-2	2-2	5	5	1	1	15
Tay Knox	C	24	4-4	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	1	8
Kayden Carter	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	3	4	5
Julius Rollins	G	20	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Rodrick Payne	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	1	3

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Fruster	G	37	8-14	1-5	6-6	1	1	0	0	23
Artese Stapleton	Guard	36	4-11	1-3	3-4	3	3	1	0	12
Malik Olafioye	G	22	4-6	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	9
Nakyel Shelton	G	30	3-7	0-3	2-2	5	1	0	3	8
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	2-4	6	2	3	2	6
Kooper Jacobi	F	36	1-10	0-4	2-4	12	5	2	0	4
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	11	1-4	0-0	1-1	2	2	2	0	3
Obadiah Curtis	G	7	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Sekou Kalle	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

110.8Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency110.8

11.8Net Efficiency-11.8

63.0%Effective FG%42.4%

63.8%True Shooting %48.2%

24.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

18.5%Free Throw Rate37.3%

37.0%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.