Nicholls

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Nicholls

56.3%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -129

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNicholls 69

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 72

Team Comparison

NichollsMetricNorthwestern State

43.6MMH Power Index41.3

105.3Offensive Efficiency104.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-3.7Net Efficiency-5.0

-0.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

68.7Tempo63.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-2.5Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Nicholls

66—68

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 2 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NichollsTEAM STATNorthwestern State

24-56FG22-57

43.0%FG%39.0%

7-173PT5-18

41.0%3PT%28.0%

11-16FT19-24

69.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists12

10Turnovers12

5Steals8

8Blocks4

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Gray Jr.	G	29	7-14	4-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	18
Byron Ireland	Guard	35	5-12	1-1	4-4	4	6	0	0	15
Rob Brown III	G	23	3-6	1-4	2-2	1	1	2	0	9
Jamal West Jr.	F	19	3-6	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	1	8
Mekhi Collins	Not Available	24	2-4	0-0	1-4	8	0	0	2	5
Jaylen Searles	G	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	5
Trae English	G	22	1-6	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Sincere Malone	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Emarion Ellis	Guard	21	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4	0
Caleb Robinson	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	31	6-12	3-7	3-4	1	1	1	0	18
JT Warren	Forward	14	4-7	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	12
Willie Williams	F	32	4-9	0-0	3-5	8	3	1	0	11
Addison Patterson	F	32	3-12	1-2	4-4	12	4	0	0	11
Jon Sanders II	G	20	1-7	0-5	4-4	8	0	0	0	6
Landyn Jumawan	G	17	1-2	0-1	2-3	0	0	4	0	4
Lado Laku	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	3	2
Jerald Colonel	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Love Bettis	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

103.9Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.9

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

49.1%Effective FG%43.0%

51.9%True Shooting %49.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate42.1%

30.4%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.