Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Montana

79.9%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -398

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 72

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricIdaho

45.4MMH Power Index53.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency104.3

3.8Net Efficiency7.3

-2.4Strength of Schedule-2.4

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

71.2Tempo69.7

56.3%Effective FG%52.8%

19.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

37.7%Free Throw Rate34.6%

2.7Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.6), defensive efficiency (104.3–104.8), net efficiency (7.3–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.3–52.8), free throw rate (37.7–34.6).

Final

Montana

73—71

Idaho

Montana by 2 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATIdaho

28-52FG27-64

54.0%FG%42.0%

7-183PT8-27

39.0%3PT%30.0%

10-16FT9-10

63.0%FT%90.0%

31Rebounds36

4Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists10

12Turnovers12

7Steals5

1Blocks1

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	39	7-12	3-5	1-1	5	4	0	0	18
Money Williams	G	26	7-15	2-6	2-3	4	2	3	0	18
Joe Pridgen	Guard	34	5-9	0-1	3-5	10	1	2	1	13
Kai Johnson	Guard	29	4-6	1-3	1-2	2	2	1	0	10
Austin Patterson	Guard	28	4-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	24	1-2	0-0	3-5	2	0	0	0	5
Brandon Whitney	Guard	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Foy	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kristian Gonzalez	G	28	8-16	2-6	1-1	6	0	2	0	19
Jack Payne	G	33	6-12	3-7	3-3	4	3	2	0	18
Tyler Linhardt	F	14	5-10	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Kolton Mitchell	G	38	2-9	1-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	7
Julius Mims	F	20	3-6	0-0	0-0	8	2	0	1	6
Tyler Mrus	F	34	1-6	1-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	5
Takai Hardy	Forward	18	1-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Miles Klapper	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Isaiah Brickner	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

106.3Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency106.3

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

60.6%Effective FG%48.4%

61.2%True Shooting %51.6%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Free Throw Rate15.6%

34.6%3-Point Rate42.2%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Montana won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.