UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%UC Davis

66.5%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -199

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Northridge

48.4MMH Power Index50

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

103.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

3.5Net Efficiency2.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule-0.6

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

72.4Tempo75.9

52.3%Effective FG%51.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.5Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–48.4), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.9), recent form (1.8–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–105.2), net efficiency (3.5–2.1), shooting efficiency (52.3–51.0).

Final

UC Davis

61—73

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 12 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Northridge

16-53FG27-57

30.0%FG%47.0%

8-243PT7-16

33.0%3PT%44.0%

21-29FT12-23

72.0%FT%52.0%

34Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists18

17Turnovers19

14Steals6

2Blocks3

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	35	3-16	0-4	11-14	6	2	4	0	17
Connor Sevilla	G	30	2-9	2-8	5-6	1	0	1	0	11
Nils Cooper	G	24	2-4	1-1	3-3	1	2	1	0	8
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	31	2-11	1-5	2-2	3	3	4	0	7
Pablo Tamba	F	20	3-6	0-1	0-3	7	2	2	0	6
Isaiah Chappell	F	11	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	27	1-2	1-1	0-1	8	2	0	2	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Sione Lose	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jac Mani	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	36	11-17	5-9	1-3	7	0	0	2	28
Mahmoud Fofana	F	27	6-8	0-0	3-4	4	1	1	0	15
Keonte Jones	G	35	4-9	0-0	5-11	20	6	3	1	13
Scotty Washington	G	35	4-8	1-3	1-1	3	3	0	0	10
PJ Fuller II	Guard	33	2-7	1-4	2-4	3	5	1	0	7
Jordan Brinson	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Grady Lewis	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tyler Beard	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

82.0Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency82.0

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

37.7%Effective FG%53.5%

45.7%True Shooting %53.7%

22.7%Turnover Rate25.7%

54.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

45.3%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.95

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.