Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Middle Tennessee

65.5%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -190

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 72

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreLiberty 78

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricLiberty

52.5MMH Power Index53.7

109.6Offensive Efficiency119.0

105.7Defensive Efficiency108.0

3.9Net Efficiency11.0

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

68.8Tempo65.3

52.2%Effective FG%60.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate32.1%

2.7Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–52.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–3.9), shooting efficiency (60.5–52.2).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–108.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.0), recent form (3.2–-4.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

63—73

Liberty

Liberty by 10 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATLiberty

25-66FG28-64

38.0%FG%44.0%

6-233PT10-26

26.0%3PT%38.0%

7-11FT7-10

64.0%FT%70.0%

43Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists16

10Turnovers10

6Steals6

5Blocks3

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camryn Weston	Guard	26	7-14	1-4	1-2	4	2	1	0	16
Essam Mostafa	Forward	33	7-13	0-1	0-0	16	0	2	1	14
Justin Bufford	Guard	36	5-9	3-7	0-0	4	1	0	2	13
Jlynn Counter	G	37	3-12	2-5	4-5	4	4	0	0	12
Torey Alston	F	22	1-4	0-1	2-4	7	0	1	1	4
Chris Loofe	F	7	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Jestin Porter	G	29	0-9	0-5	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Jacob Johnson	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tre Green	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Metheny	G	37	8-15	3-8	0-0	4	2	1	0	19
Colin Porter	G	36	5-10	3-4	3-3	0	5	3	0	16
Zach Cleveland	F	31	4-11	0-0	3-5	8	6	0	1	11
Jayvon Maughmer	Guard	35	4-9	2-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	10
Owen Aquino	F	35	4-10	0-1	1-2	13	1	0	2	9
Taelon Peter	Guard	16	3-9	2-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	8
Gabriel McKay	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zander Yates	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

93.3Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency93.3

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

42.4%Effective FG%51.6%

44.2%True Shooting %53.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

16.7%Free Throw Rate15.6%

34.8%3-Point Rate40.6%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Liberty won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.