Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%Houston Christian

73.5%Lamar

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLamar -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINELamar -277

Lamar

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 65

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreLamar 73

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricLamar

39.5MMH Power Index44.1

102.5Offensive Efficiency105.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.8

-7.8Net Efficiency1.2

-0.6Strength of Schedule-3.0

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

65.4Tempo66.6

49.9%Effective FG%48.8%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

37.1%Free Throw Rate28.5%

-5.1Average Margin0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–39.5), offensive efficiency (105.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (103.8–110.3), net efficiency (1.2–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.0), shooting efficiency (49.9–48.8), free throw rate (37.1–28.5).

Final

Houston Christian

61—63

Lamar

Lamar by 2 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATLamar

23-58FG28-67

40.0%FG%42.0%

8-243PT5-16

33.0%3PT%31.0%

7-9FT2-4

78.0%FT%50.0%

42Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists19

17Turnovers7

5Steals14

2Blocks5

9Fouls11

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryson Dawkins	G	34	8-17	3-8	1-1	8	2	1	0	20
Julian Mackey	G	28	8-14	3-5	1-3	1	1	1	0	20
Demari Williams	G	22	3-8	1-2	1-1	6	0	0	0	8
Trent Johnson	F	31	2-5	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	1	6
D'Aundre Samuels	G	16	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Peyton Rogers	Forward	27	0-3	0-3	2-2	8	1	1	0	2
Porter Bazil	SF	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Elijah Brooks	G	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Pierce Bazil	PG	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alexis Marmolejos	G	33	8-13	4-7	1-2	3	4	4	0	21
Andrew Holifield	F	28	5-12	0-4	1-2	4	1	0	2	11
Cody Pennebaker	G	31	4-5	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	8
Adam Hamilton	Center	28	4-11	0-0	0-0	8	2	2	2	8
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	31	3-13	1-4	0-0	3	6	4	0	7
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Danquez Dawsey	Guard	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Janko Bulajic	C	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Errol White	F	22	0-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

91.6Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency91.6

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

46.6%Effective FG%45.5%

49.0%True Shooting %45.7%

25.3%Turnover Rate10.6%

15.5%Free Throw Rate6.0%

41.4%3-Point Rate23.9%

0.65Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Lamar won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.