Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Ohio

51.6%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -107

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 78

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 79

Team Comparison

OhioMetricCentral Michigan

48MMH Power Index44

109.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

-1.0Net Efficiency-5.1

-0.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

71.0Tempo69.3

52.0%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.8%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-0.7Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–44.0), offensive efficiency (109.7–105.9), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.0), net efficiency (-1.0–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.3–-1.0), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–28.9).

Final

Ohio

57—55

Central Michigan

Ohio by 2 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATCentral Michigan

24-55FG20-61

44.0%FG%33.0%

5-233PT2-15

22.0%3PT%13.0%

4-10FT13-16

40.0%FT%81.0%

28Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists5

13Turnovers14

10Steals8

7Blocks3

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Brown	G	28	4-9	4-7	2-4	4	2	2	0	14
Jackson Paveletzke	G	34	5-8	1-2	0-4	4	5	1	0	11
AJ Clayton	Forward	33	2-7	0-4	2-2	7	1	2	4	6
Aidan Hadaway	F	26	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	3	6
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	23	3-8	0-2	0-0	1	3	2	0	6
Vic Searls	Forward	21	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Ajay Sheldon	G	16	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Elmore James IV	G	19	1-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	2

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakobi Heady	G	37	5-17	1-4	4-5	8	2	1	1	15
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	33	6-13	0-1	1-1	3	1	4	0	13
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	37	3-10	0-4	5-6	11	0	1	0	11
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	23	3-8	0-3	3-4	3	1	1	0	9
Cayden Vasko	G	34	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	2	4
Bryan Ndjonga	F	24	1-4	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Damarion Bonds	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

85.5Offensive Efficiency82.5

82.5Defensive Efficiency85.5

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

48.2%Effective FG%34.4%

47.7%True Shooting %40.1%

19.8%Turnover Rate20.7%

18.2%Free Throw Rate26.2%

41.8%3-Point Rate24.6%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Ohio won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.