UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%UT Arlington

48.8%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Arlington -105

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 71

Projected Total142.3

Projected ScoreTarleton State 71

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricTarleton State

49.6MMH Power Index44.6

102.7Offensive Efficiency103.2

97.9Defensive Efficiency101.6

4.8Net Efficiency1.6

-0.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

68.1Tempo72.2

48.5%Effective FG%49.0%

20.4%Turnover Rate19.9%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.7%Free Throw Rate42.8%

3.3Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–44.6), defensive efficiency (97.9–101.6), net efficiency (4.8–1.6), strength of schedule (-0.8–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.2–102.7), shooting efficiency (49.0–48.5), ball security (19.9–20.4).

Final

UT Arlington

74—77

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 3 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATTarleton State

21-41FG25-52

51.0%FG%48.0%

10-203PT6-14

50.0%3PT%43.0%

22-30FT21-26

73.0%FT%81.0%

29Rebounds23

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists11

23Turnovers14

3Steals14

3Blocks5

22Fouls25

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brody Robinson	G	36	5-6	5-6	6-6	2	2	0	0	21
Jaden Wells	Guard	23	5-8	3-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	15
Lance Ware	Forward	33	1-3	0-0	8-12	5	2	0	2	10
Raysean Seamster	F	28	4-6	1-2	1-3	6	1	2	0	10
Darius Burford	Guard	30	4-5	0-0	1-3	2	4	0	0	9
Diante Smith	Forward	20	1-3	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	1	5
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	10	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	8	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Troy Hupstead	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bubu Benjamin	G	39	8-16	3-6	2-2	4	4	2	2	21
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	39	6-13	2-6	4-4	2	3	3	0	18
Chris Mpaka	F	20	4-6	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	1	10
Izzy Miles	G	36	2-8	1-2	4-6	2	0	1	1	9
Jordan Mizell	G	32	2-3	0-0	4-5	5	3	5	0	8
Keitenn Bristow	F	17	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Karim Elgizawy	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Nick Krass	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Marty Silvera	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.6

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

63.4%Effective FG%53.8%

67.0%True Shooting %59.8%

33.2%Turnover Rate20.2%

73.2%Free Throw Rate50.0%

48.8%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.48Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.