Seattle U

21-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Seattle U

78.2%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -359

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSeattle U 66

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 74

Team Comparison

Seattle UMetricCalifornia Baptist

51.4MMH Power Index58.3

103.9Offensive Efficiency106.5

96.9Defensive Efficiency99.0

7.0Net Efficiency7.5

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.8

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.4Tempo68.2

50.8%Effective FG%48.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

4.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–51.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.9), net efficiency (7.5–7.0), strength of schedule (1.8–-1.7).

Seattle U COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.9–99.0), shooting efficiency (50.8–48.8), ball security (16.6–17.9).

Final

Seattle U

59—61

California Baptist

California Baptist by 2 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Seattle UTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

23-58FG25-56

40.0%FG%45.0%

3-193PT1-15

16.0%3PT%7.0%

10-17FT10-14

59.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists12

13Turnovers13

11Steals7

2Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Seattle U

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe	Forward	35	7-15	0-2	4-7	13	1	2	0	18
Kobe Williamson	Forward	20	5-10	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Maleek Arington	G	36	3-7	1-4	2-5	2	6	3	0	9
Malek Gomma	F	8	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Paris Dawson	Guard	35	1-5	1-3	2-2	7	2	2	1	5
Will Heimbrodt	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	1	5
John Christofilis	G	29	1-9	0-5	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Brayden Maldonado	G	11	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Houran Dan	C	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Braun	Forward	24	6-11	0-0	4-6	12	0	1	2	16
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	6-14	0-3	3-3	5	3	1	0	15
Adam Moussa	Guard	34	4-7	0-1	2-3	2	6	1	1	10
Kendal Coleman	Forward	19	4-7	0-2	1-2	4	2	1	0	9
Sam Silverstein	G	36	3-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	1	6
Javonte Johnson	Guard	21	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jonathan Griman	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Tylen Riley	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Martel Williams	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

90.9Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency90.9

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

42.2%Effective FG%45.5%

44.6%True Shooting %48.7%

20.0%Turnover Rate20.1%

29.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

32.8%3-Point Rate26.8%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.