UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%UC San Diego

51.6%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -107

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Fullerton

53.4MMH Power Index49.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

100.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.7Net Efficiency1.7

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.2

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

69.8Tempo76.3

53.1%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.4Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

UC San Diego

90—51

Cal State Fullerton

UC San Diego by 39 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

31-59FG16-49

53.0%FG%33.0%

11-303PT3-13

37.0%3PT%23.0%

17-20FT16-17

85.0%FT%94.0%

29Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists5

7Turnovers21

12Steals4

3Blocks2

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	27	8-10	0-1	8-8	5	4	1	0	24
Tyler McGhie	Guard	25	8-14	4-9	3-3	5	1	1	0	23
Hayden Gray	Guard	29	3-9	1-4	2-2	1	4	3	0	9
Chris Howell	G	22	2-2	1-1	2-2	4	1	1	2	7
Nordin Kapic	F	20	3-7	0-2	1-3	3	2	2	0	7
Aidan Burke	G	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Cade Pendleton	F	8	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Maximo Milovich	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	5
Jasen Brooks	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Justin Rochelin	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	0
Ryder Elisaldez	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antwan Robinson	Guard	10	2-4	2-4	6-6	1	0	0	0	12
Zion Richardson	Guard	20	2-5	1-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	9
John Mikey Square	Not Available	31	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	6
Kendrick De Luna	F	26	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Zachary Visentin	Center	10	1-2	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	6
Kaleb Brown	G	21	2-8	0-1	0-1	2	2	1	0	4
Donovan Oday	G	13	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Kobe Young	Guard	23	1-7	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Keith Richard	Guard	16	1-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	30	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

132.7Offensive Efficiency75.2

75.2Defensive Efficiency132.7

57.5Net Efficiency-57.5

61.9%Effective FG%35.7%

65.7%True Shooting %44.7%

10.2%Turnover Rate31.3%

33.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

50.8%3-Point Rate26.5%

2.43Assist / Turnover0.24

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 39 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.