Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.8%Long Beach State

38.2%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -162

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 80

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

41.1MMH Power Index32.2

103.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

-4.0Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.2Tempo73.0

51.5%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–112.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.3), free throw rate (43.8–31.1).

Final

Long Beach State

65—80

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 15 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

23-45FG27-59

51.0%FG%46.0%

4-123PT7-17

33.0%3PT%41.0%

15-23FT19-22

65.0%FT%86.0%

20Rebounds43

4Offensive Rebounds19

9Assists9

12Turnovers9

1Steals8

1Blocks3

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	40	7-13	2-4	5-6	2	4	0	0	21
Austin Johnson	Not Available	30	6-8	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	14
TJ Wainwright	G	24	4-10	0-4	4-6	2	1	1	0	12
Kam Martin	G	29	2-4	1-2	0-1	3	1	0	0	5
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	21	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	4
Varick Lewis	G	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cam Denson	F	28	1-4	0-1	0-3	1	3	0	0	2
Christian Richardson	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Andrew Nagy	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	31	12-22	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	25
CJ Hardy	G	21	3-7	1-2	5-5	1	1	2	0	12
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	33	2-5	0-0	6-7	7	2	2	2	10
Corey Stephenson	G	24	3-8	0-1	4-4	11	1	1	0	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	26	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Tom Mark	F	28	2-6	0-0	2-3	10	3	2	1	6
Kadar Waller	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	3
Marvin McGhee IV	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jaden Alexander	G	7	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Shakir Odunewu	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

105.3Offensive Efficiency129.7

129.7Defensive Efficiency105.3

-24.3Net Efficiency24.3

55.6%Effective FG%51.7%

58.1%True Shooting %57.6%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

51.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

26.7%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.