Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Lafayette

91.9%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -1135

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 62

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreNavy 79

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricNavy

39.6MMH Power Index56.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency113.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

-7.4Net Efficiency15.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-8.1

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

67.5Tempo65.9

49.4%Effective FG%53.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.0%Free Throw Rate40.9%

-5.0Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (113.2–102.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–110.3), net efficiency (15.6–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-8.1), ball security (15.4–17.1).

Final

Lafayette

70—71

Navy

Navy by 1 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATNavy

27-59FG26-59

46.0%FG%44.0%

9-233PT7-16

39.0%3PT%44.0%

7-12FT12-17

58.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists13

12Turnovers7

3Steals6

6Blocks2

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	32	5-10	4-8	2-4	5	2	1	0	16
Andrew Phillips	G	26	6-8	3-4	0-0	8	1	0	0	15
Justin Vander Baan	C	33	5-14	0-1	3-4	9	4	0	6	13
Alex Chaikin	G	31	3-11	1-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	9
Malik Rasul	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
TJ Berger	G	5	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Mark Butler	G	32	2-4	0-0	0-2	6	4	0	0	4
Misha Bednostin	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ryan Pettit	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Luka Savicevic	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Draper	F	36	8-12	1-3	0-0	9	2	3	1	17
Austin Benigni	G	37	4-10	1-3	5-6	5	4	0	1	14
Aidan Kehoe	C	29	4-11	0-0	4-6	10	4	0	0	12
Jinwoo Kim	G	32	3-9	2-4	2-3	2	1	0	0	10
Jordan Pennick	G	31	4-11	1-4	1-1	1	1	0	0	10
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Cam Cole	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-1	1	0	1	0	3
Mitch Fischer	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Medalie	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

105.4Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.9Defensive Efficiency105.4

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

53.4%Effective FG%50.0%

54.1%True Shooting %52.9%

18.0%Turnover Rate10.6%

20.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

39.0%3-Point Rate27.1%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Navy won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.