Holy Cross

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Holy Cross

84.0%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -525

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 66

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreAmerican University 78

Team Comparison

Holy CrossMetricAmerican University

37.9MMH Power Index48.2

103.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.9Defensive Efficiency105.8

-7.6Net Efficiency4.8

-2.6Strength of Schedule-4.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

66.1Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%52.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.4%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

32.5%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-5.1Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–37.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.9), net efficiency (4.8–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (32.5–30.1).

Final

Holy Cross

64—75

American University

American University by 11 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Holy CrossTEAM STATAmerican University

24-57FG24-48

42.0%FG%50.0%

9-253PT12-24

36.0%3PT%50.0%

7-10FT15-17

70.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds3

11Assists16

10Turnovers8

3Steals5

1Blocks—

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Green	G	39	7-17	3-9	3-4	5	5	0	0	20
Joe Nugent	G	33	6-9	5-8	2-2	6	0	1	0	19
Caleb Kenney	Forward	32	6-14	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	14
Kahlil Singleton	G	23	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	5
Jaiden Feroah	F	31	2-6	0-2	0-0	7	2	1	1	4
Aidan Richard	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
DeAndre Williams	G	29	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	27	5-8	4-5	4-4	4	4	0	18
Matt Mayock	F	29	6-9	4-7	1-1	1	2	0	17
Julen Iturbe	F	12	4-4	3-3	0-0	2	0	1	11
Greg Jones	F	29	3-9	0-3	4-5	2	1	1	10
Elijah Stephens	Guard	33	2-7	0-2	5-5	0	4	2	9
Colin Smalls	Guard	22	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	4
Wyatt Nausadis	G	21	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	2	0	4
Lincoln Ball	Guard	27	1-2	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

104.9Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

50.0%Effective FG%62.5%

51.8%True Shooting %66.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

17.5%Free Throw Rate35.4%

43.9%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

American University won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.