Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Niagara

78.0%Mount St. Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMount St. Mary's -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL135.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMount St. Mary's -355

Mount St. Mary's

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Projected Total135.5

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 72

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricMount St. Mary's

35.8MMH Power Index42.6

100.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

112.4Defensive Efficiency103.2

-11.6Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.8Strength of Schedule-3.1

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

63.4Tempo67.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.0%

18.8%Turnover Rate22.4%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

27.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

-7.4Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mount St. Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMount St. Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.6–35.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–112.4), net efficiency (-3.0–-11.6), recent form (6.4–-5.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (100.8–100.2), strength of schedule (-0.8–-3.1), ball security (18.8–22.4).

Final

Niagara

62—68

Mount St. Mary's

Mount St. Mary's by 6 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATMount St. Mary's

25-64FG22-46

39.0%FG%48.0%

8-273PT9-19

30.0%3PT%47.0%

4-4FT15-20

100.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds27

12Offensive Rebounds2

12Assists15

19Turnovers18

10Steals11

2Blocks4

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahari Williamson	G	24	5-9	5-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	15
Zion Russell	G	26	6-9	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Justice Smith	Forward	22	5-12	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	13
Josiah Davis	G	32	2-8	0-1	0-0	5	4	2	0	4
Jaeden Marshall	G	22	2-9	0-3	0-0	1	0	3	0	4
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	20	1-5	0-2	2-2	5	0	2	0	4
Will Shortt	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	2	4
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	29	1-6	0-5	0-0	5	3	2	0	2
Damondre McKnight	Guard	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carmelo Pacheco	G	29	4-9	4-8	2-3	2	1	3	1	14
Jedy Cordilia	Forward	27	5-6	0-0	2-4	4	0	1	3	12
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	25	3-8	0-0	5-7	4	1	1	0	11
Arlandus Keyes	G	20	3-5	3-3	2-2	6	4	2	0	11
Xavier Lipscomb	G	33	4-6	2-4	0-0	5	4	1	0	10
Dola Adebayo	F	28	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	4	2	0	4
Javon Ervin	Guard	20	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Abdou Khadre Kébé	G	11	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Trey Wilson	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Haigh	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

85.9Offensive Efficiency94.2

94.2Defensive Efficiency85.9

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

45.3%Effective FG%57.6%

47.0%True Shooting %61.3%

26.1%Turnover Rate25.2%

6.3%Free Throw Rate43.5%

42.2%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.63Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Mount St. Mary's won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.