Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Murray State

42.7%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -134

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreDrake 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricDrake

53.6MMH Power Index46.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

4.0Net Efficiency0.4

3.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

72.3Tempo68.6

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.4%

2.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.5), net efficiency (4.0–0.4), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–111.0), ball security (14.9–16.3).

Final

Murray State

66—59

Drake

Murray State by 7 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATDrake

22-40FG21-51

55.0%FG%41.0%

7-153PT4-14

47.0%3PT%29.0%

15-20FT13-18

75.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds21

6Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists8

15Turnovers8

5Steals11

4Blocks—

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	34	5-9	4-7	6-6	1	2	2	0	20
Kylen Milton	Guard	33	5-7	2-3	3-5	3	2	0	0	15
JaCobi Wood	Guard	32	3-5	0-1	2-3	4	4	2	0	8
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	10	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Nick Ellington	F	27	1-7	0-0	3-5	8	0	1	3	5
Alden Applewhite	F	7	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Justin Morgan	Guard	17	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
AJ Ferguson	Guard	40	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	2

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	4-12	0-3	5-5	5	4	5	13
Isaia Howard	G	23	6-8	1-1	0-0	6	0	3	13
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	4-9	3-8	0-1	0	2	0	11
Daniel Abreu	Forward	40	2-6	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	26	2-8	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	5
Tavion Banks	G	15	2-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	5
Kael Combs	G	9	1-2	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	5
Nate Ferguson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

112.6Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency112.6

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

63.7%Effective FG%45.1%

66.7%True Shooting %49.5%

25.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

50.0%Free Throw Rate35.3%

37.5%3-Point Rate27.5%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Murray State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.