Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Southern Illinois

61.7%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -161

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 69

Projected Total143.2

Projected ScoreIllinois State 74

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIllinois State

54.6MMH Power Index54.3

103.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency101.4

4.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.6Strength of Schedule1.0

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%54.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.4Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–54.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–101.4), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (7.7–-4.4).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–103.4), net efficiency (9.2–4.9), shooting efficiency (54.3–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

54—85

Illinois State

Illinois State by 31 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIllinois State

20-56FG31-51

36.0%FG%61.0%

4-203PT13-28

20.0%3PT%46.0%

10-23FT10-13

43.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists19

14Turnovers17

12Steals6

1Blocks—

15Fouls23

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Sykes	G	24	4-7	0-0	3-5	2	0	1	0	11
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	35	3-11	3-9	1-2	3	1	1	1	10
Sheridan Sharp	G	25	4-12	0-4	2-2	2	1	2	0	10
Ali Dibba	G	30	4-10	0-0	1-6	8	3	5	0	9
Drew Steffe	G	27	3-9	1-5	2-5	2	2	1	0	9
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	28	2-6	0-2	0-1	3	2	1	0	4
Antwaun Massey	F	17	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Rolyns Aligbe	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jorge Moreno	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Johnny Kinziger	G	19	6-7	3-4	2-2	2	3	0	17
Jack Daugherty	F	17	6-11	5-9	0-0	2	1	0	17
Jordan Davis	Guard	21	5-8	2-4	1-1	10	1	0	13
Caden Boser	Forward	18	2-2	1-1	1-2	2	4	0	6
Dalton Banks	Guard	12	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	4	6
Ty Pence	G	26	1-6	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	5
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	26	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	5	1	5
Cade Norris	G	24	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	4	0	5
Chase Walker	F	15	1-3	0-0	3-4	5	1	0	5
Landon Wolf	G	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	1	4
Ty Blake	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

78.7Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency78.7

-45.2Net Efficiency45.2

39.3%Effective FG%73.5%

40.3%True Shooting %74.3%

20.3%Turnover Rate24.9%

41.1%Free Throw Rate25.5%

35.7%3-Point Rate54.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.12

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.