North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%North Carolina Central

66.0%Morgan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorgan State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMorgan State -194

Morgan State

14-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 74

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreMorgan State 79

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricMorgan State

35.8MMH Power Index37.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency105.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency109.3

-5.3Net Efficiency-4.2

-8.0Strength of Schedule-9.5

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

68.5Tempo71.6

49.8%Effective FG%48.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

39.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-3.6Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morgan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorgan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.2–35.8), offensive efficiency (105.1–104.9), defensive efficiency (109.3–110.2), net efficiency (-4.2–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-8.0–-9.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–48.6).

Final

North Carolina Central

98—102

Morgan State

Morgan State by 4 • 87.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATMorgan State

34-75FG34-75

45.0%FG%45.0%

9-213PT5-13

43.0%3PT%38.0%

21-36FT29-37

58.0%FT%78.0%

47Rebounds43

21Offensive Rebounds19

17Assists10

16Turnovers15

5Steals5

4Blocks8

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Perry Smith Jr.	C	41	8-15	0-0	3-6	12	3	0	1	19
Isaac Parson	Guard	37	6-13	1-3	6-8	7	6	0	0	19
Jaqai Murray	F	34	4-10	0-0	8-18	9	2	0	2	16
Po'Boigh King	G	45	6-14	1-5	2-2	3	2	1	0	15
Timmy Adedire	Forward	21	4-5	2-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	10
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	32	3-7	2-4	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Dionte Johnson	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Keishon Porter	G	13	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Aquan Smart	Guard	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Anthony Peoples Jr.	F	9	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	1	2

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kameron Hobbs	Guard	47	13-24	3-8	11-13	7	1	0	0	40
Will Thomas	Forward	39	8-12	1-1	12-12	10	2	0	0	29
Amahrie Simpkins	Guard	46	7-14	0-0	1-2	5	5	1	1	15
Rob Lawson	G	34	3-12	0-1	2-4	1	0	1	0	8
Marland Harris	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Daniel Akitoby	F	39	0-5	0-0	3-6	10	0	3	6	3
Demajion Topps	Guard	16	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Jaden Martin	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Kiran Oliver	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

87.9Possessions87.9

111.5Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency111.5

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

51.3%Effective FG%48.7%

53.2%True Shooting %55.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

48.0%Free Throw Rate49.3%

28.0%3-Point Rate17.3%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Morgan State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 87.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.