St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.9%St. John's

14.1%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -609

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 85

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreXavier 73

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricXavier

70.3MMH Power Index49.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.6Defensive Efficiency112.4

16.8Net Efficiency-3.2

5.5Strength of Schedule5.6

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

70.9Tempo71.7

51.3%Effective FG%51.7%

14.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate28.9%

11.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–112.4), net efficiency (16.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.5), shooting efficiency (51.7–51.3), ball security (13.9–14.3).

Final

St. John's

82—72

Xavier

St. John's by 10 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATXavier

34-81FG22-60

42.0%FG%37.0%

2-163PT4-18

13.0%3PT%22.0%

12-13FT24-25

92.0%FT%96.0%

50Rebounds30

20Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists19

8Turnovers12

8Steals4

8Blocks4

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	28	6-14	0-2	6-6	10	1	0	0	18
Zuby Ejiofor	F	27	8-16	0-1	2-3	12	1	0	4	18
Simeon Wilcher	G	28	7-15	1-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	15
Kadary Richmond	Guard	37	5-12	0-1	2-2	4	6	3	1	12
Aaron Scott	Guard	33	6-12	0-3	0-0	8	1	4	1	12
Deivon Smith	Guard	26	2-9	1-4	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Ruben Prey	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Freemantle	Forward	34	8-18	1-3	5-5	3	2	0	2	22
Dailyn Swain	G	28	4-5	0-0	6-6	8	1	0	0	14
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	37	4-10	0-2	3-4	2	8	3	1	11
Ryan Conwell	G	34	1-10	1-8	6-6	1	2	0	0	9
John Hugley IV	F	10	2-4	1-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Marcus Foster	Guard	25	1-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Jerome Hunter	Forward	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	1	2
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Cam'Ron Fletcher	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

107.8Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

43.2%Effective FG%40.0%

47.0%True Shooting %50.1%

10.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

16.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

19.8%3-Point Rate30.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

St. John's won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.