Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Ohio

66.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -201

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 77

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

OhioMetricBuffalo

48MMH Power Index49.7

109.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

-1.0Net Efficiency2.7

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

71.0Tempo67.9

52.0%Effective FG%56.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

37.8%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-0.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.7), net efficiency (2.7–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–112.2), recent form (-1.0–-5.9), ball security (15.3–16.1).

Final

Ohio

88—79

Buffalo

Ohio by 9 • 79.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATBuffalo

33-65FG29-68

51.0%FG%43.0%

8-233PT7-27

35.0%3PT%26.0%

14-19FT14-22

74.0%FT%64.0%

45Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists19

16Turnovers13

9Steals10

5Blocks4

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	28	10-18	4-8	3-4	7	0	1	3	27
Aidan Hadaway	F	29	7-10	1-3	2-2	16	0	1	0	17
Vic Searls	Forward	16	5-8	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	10
Elmore James IV	G	24	4-8	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
AJ Brown	G	19	1-4	1-2	5-6	3	2	0	0	8
Jackson Paveletzke	G	25	1-5	0-3	3-4	2	4	0	1	5
Ayden Evans	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	24	1-6	0-2	1-2	4	6	3	0	3
Ben Estis	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ajay Sheldon	G	25	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	3	0	2
Ben Nicol	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Elijah Elliott	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Dunn	G	30	7-15	5-9	2-2	5	8	4	0	21
Ben Michaels	F	35	6-12	1-5	2-2	3	2	2	1	15
Ryan Sabol	G	32	5-10	1-4	4-5	3	4	2	0	15
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	33	5-10	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	0	12
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	16	2-3	0-0	1-4	4	0	1	1	5
Bryson Wilson	G	15	0-6	0-2	3-4	5	0	0	1	3
Noah Batchelor	G	10	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Kavon Bradford	G	9	1-3	0-0	0-1	0	4	1	1	2
Brayden Jackson	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Tim Oboh	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.3Possessions79.3

111.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

11.3Net Efficiency-11.3

56.9%Effective FG%47.8%

59.4%True Shooting %50.4%

20.5%Turnover Rate16.2%

29.2%Free Throw Rate32.4%

35.4%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.19Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Ohio won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 79.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.