Eastern Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.8%Eastern Michigan

90.2%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -920

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Michigan 69

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreToledo 84

Team Comparison

Eastern MichiganMetricToledo

43.4MMH Power Index58.8

102.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

106.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

-4.2Net Efficiency6.4

1.4Strength of Schedule2.3

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

69.0Tempo69.8

49.9%Effective FG%55.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

30.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-2.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–43.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–102.4), net efficiency (6.4–-4.2), strength of schedule (2.3–1.4).

Eastern Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–109.6).

Final

Eastern Michigan

87—90

Toledo

Toledo by 3 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern MichiganTEAM STATToledo

31-56FG30-58

55.0%FG%52.0%

10-233PT8-18

43.0%3PT%44.0%

15-19FT22-29

79.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists17

16Turnovers11

8Steals6

1Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Eastern Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Henry	G	36	7-16	5-10	6-8	3	5	2	0	25
Jalen Terry	Guard	35	9-14	5-10	0-0	4	3	1	0	23
Da'Sean Nelson	Forward	34	9-14	0-0	2-3	5	1	2	0	20
Jalin Billingsley	Forward	20	4-4	0-0	3-3	2	0	1	0	11
Arne Osojnik	G	20	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Yusuf Jihad	Forward	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Godslove Nwabude	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
John Shanu II	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Dillon Tingler	G	27	0-3	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	0
Trey Pettigrew	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	34	8-15	2-5	2-2	6	3	0	1	20
Sonny Wilson	G	33	6-12	0-1	7-11	4	4	0	0	19
Bryce Ford	G	28	6-7	4-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	18
Javan Simmons	F	32	4-9	0-0	6-8	8	0	1	0	14
Isaiah Adams	Guard	31	4-9	2-5	2-2	3	6	2	0	12
Seth Hubbard	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	3	0	2
Grgur Brcic	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	3	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

114.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency114.6

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

64.3%Effective FG%58.6%

66.9%True Shooting %62.7%

20.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate50.0%

41.1%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Toledo won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.