Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Fresno State

80.7%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -418

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 69

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreColorado State 78

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricColorado State

47.1MMH Power Index55.4

104.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency109.9

0.0Net Efficiency7.2

1.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.4Tempo64.7

51.3%Effective FG%58.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (117.1–104.9), net efficiency (7.2–0.0), recent form (4.3–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.9), strength of schedule (1.5–0.4), ball security (18.2–18.3).

Final

Fresno State

64—91

Colorado State

Colorado State by 27 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATColorado State

19-50FG29-58

38.0%FG%50.0%

7-143PT13-30

50.0%3PT%43.0%

19-33FT20-23

58.0%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists28

17Turnovers12

6Steals5

3Blocks1

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Crawford	F	32	7-12	1-2	6-11	5	2	1	1	21
Zaon Collins	G	33	4-8	1-2	2-3	3	4	1	0	11
Jalen Weaver	Guard	28	2-11	1-4	2-3	3	0	0	1	7
Elijah Price	F	23	1-4	0-1	5-8	9	0	0	0	7
Jasir Tremble	Guard	20	2-5	2-2	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Brian Amuneke	G	20	0-2	0-0	4-8	3	1	0	0	4
Mykell Robinson	Forward	21	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Joshua Bonga	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Mor Seck	C	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	22	5-13	4-7	6-6	3	1	0	0	20
Keshawn Williams	G	25	7-11	2-4	2-3	2	0	1	0	18
Nique Clifford	Guard	23	6-9	2-5	0-0	9	4	1	0	14
Kyan Evans	G	26	2-2	2-2	4-4	4	7	0	0	10
Kyle Jorgensen	F	16	2-5	0-2	6-7	5	3	1	1	10
Bowen Born	Guard	16	2-7	2-7	0-1	0	2	2	0	6
Jalen Lake	Guard	27	2-6	1-3	0-0	5	5	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	18	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Luke Murphy	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Nikola Djapa	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

88.5Offensive Efficiency125.9

125.9Defensive Efficiency88.5

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

45.0%Effective FG%61.2%

48.7%True Shooting %66.0%

23.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

66.0%Free Throw Rate39.7%

28.0%3-Point Rate51.7%

0.53Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.