Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Florida State

78.0%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -355

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreMiami 85

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricMiami

58.7MMH Power Index65.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency117.8

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.0

3.4Net Efficiency14.8

5.7Strength of Schedule3.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

71.8Tempo69.2

52.4%Effective FG%55.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.5), net efficiency (14.8–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–3.6), recent form (7.6–3.6), ball security (15.2–16.2).

Final

Florida State

80—65

Miami

Florida State by 15 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATMiami

32-64FG22-60

50.0%FG%37.0%

10-243PT5-21

42.0%3PT%24.0%

6-11FT16-23

55.0%FT%70.0%

39Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds10

26Assists11

10Turnovers13

8Steals4

7Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malique Ewin	F	23	10-14	0-0	0-1	10	3	1	1	20
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	26	6-6	4-4	0-0	6	3	1	1	16
Jamir Watkins	Guard	18	4-7	2-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	10
Daquan Davis	G	25	4-9	1-3	0-1	3	10	0	0	9
Jerry Deng	F	13	2-7	1-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Justin Thomas	G	26	2-6	2-2	0-0	2	4	3	1	6
Chandler Jackson	G	22	1-4	0-2	2-3	1	1	2	3	4
Bostyn Holt	Guard	14	1-3	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	1	4
Alier Maluk	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
AJ Swinton	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Christian Nitu	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anastasios Rozakeas	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Crawford	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse Jones	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Simpson	Guard	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	33	6-12	1-5	3-9	5	0	1	0	16
Paul Djobet	G	21	5-8	1-1	2-2	3	1	0	1	13
Lynn Kidd	Center	23	2-2	0-0	4-4	7	2	0	0	8
AJ Staton-McCray	G	24	3-9	1-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
Austin Swartz	G	17	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Divine Ugochukwu	G	11	3-5	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	1	6
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	20	0-6	0-4	4-4	3	3	0	0	4
Jalil Bethea	G	22	0-6	0-1	3-3	1	1	1	0	3
Brandon Johnson	Forward	28	1-5	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	1	2
Yussif Basa-Ama	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

109.4Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency109.4

20.5Net Efficiency-20.5

57.8%Effective FG%40.8%

57.8%True Shooting %45.8%

13.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

17.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

37.5%3-Point Rate35.0%

2.60Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Florida State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.