Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.5%Dayton

39.5%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -153

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 77

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 76

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricMassachusetts

59.9MMH Power Index51.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency110.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency106.7

7.0Net Efficiency3.6

5.7Strength of Schedule0.9

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

68.3Tempo72.8

52.0%Effective FG%53.2%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

47.6%Free Throw Rate37.7%

4.8Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–51.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.7), net efficiency (7.0–3.6), strength of schedule (5.7–0.9).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.3–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.0), offensive rebounding (33.7–26.7).

Final

Dayton

72—76

Massachusetts

Massachusetts by 4 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATMassachusetts

19-50FG27-60

38.0%FG%45.0%

6-243PT3-20

25.0%3PT%15.0%

28-38FT19-20

74.0%FT%95.0%

26Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists17

10Turnovers12

5Steals5

2Blocks6

19Fouls28

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	30	4-11	2-5	8-12	3	1	0	0	18
Javon Bennett	G	27	5-12	3-8	4-4	2	2	1	0	17
Zed Key	Forward	28	4-7	0-0	8-10	3	1	0	0	16
Posh Alexander	Guard	23	3-6	1-4	1-2	1	1	2	0	8
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	34	1-5	0-3	4-4	2	1	2	1	6
Jaiun Simon	F	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Amaël L'Etang	F	12	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	1	3
Malachi Smith	G	27	0-6	0-3	1-2	4	3	0	0	1
Jacob Conner	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hamad Mousa	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Rivera	F	37	8-13	0-2	7-8	12	3	3	2	23
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	39	6-20	3-12	3-3	3	6	1	1	18
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	29	7-11	0-1	4-4	3	2	0	1	18
Jayden Ndjigue	G	31	2-6	0-2	2-2	7	2	0	0	6
Amadou Doumbia	F	12	1-3	0-0	3-3	2	0	1	1	5
Jaylen Curry	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Nate Guerengomba	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Malek Abdelgowad	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Shah Muhammad	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Akil Watson	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency103.2

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

44.0%Effective FG%47.5%

52.9%True Shooting %54.7%

14.1%Turnover Rate17.5%

76.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

48.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.