Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Murray State

79.1%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -378

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 69

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 79

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricNorthern Iowa

53.6MMH Power Index61

115.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.0Net Efficiency12.0

3.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

72.3Tempo64.1

54.0%Effective FG%54.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate26.2%

2.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Murray State

71—68

Northern Iowa

Murray State by 3 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

24-43FG27-52

56.0%FG%52.0%

12-213PT4-13

57.0%3PT%31.0%

11-18FT10-12

61.0%FT%83.0%

28Rebounds22

7Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

16Turnovers10

8Steals8

3Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	30	5-8	2-4	2-2	0	1	0	0	14
JaCobi Wood	Guard	38	3-8	3-7	2-2	4	6	3	0	11
Alden Applewhite	F	18	4-4	3-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	11
AJ Ferguson	Guard	30	3-5	2-2	2-5	5	2	0	0	10
Nick Ellington	F	23	3-5	0-0	1-5	3	0	1	3	7
Kylen Milton	Guard	23	2-6	1-2	2-2	3	2	1	0	7
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Justin Morgan	Guard	21	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	5

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	32	7-13	2-5	1-1	0	3	3	1	17
Tytan Anderson	Guard	31	5-10	0-0	5-6	4	4	2	0	15
Leon Bond III	F	31	5-5	1-1	2-3	3	0	1	1	13
Ben Schwieger	F	36	5-8	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	12
Will Hornseth	F	27	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Max Weisbrod	G	15	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Wes Rubin	Forward	7	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Redek Born	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyle Pock	F	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency116.0

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

69.8%Effective FG%55.8%

68.9%True Shooting %58.9%

26.4%Turnover Rate16.2%

41.9%Free Throw Rate23.1%

48.8%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Murray State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.