American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%American University

67.8%Boston University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston University -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoston University -211

Boston University

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 72

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreBoston University 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricBoston University

48.2MMH Power Index50.3

110.6Offensive Efficiency115.3

105.8Defensive Efficiency113.1

4.8Net Efficiency2.2

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.7

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency11.2

67.5Tempo65.4

52.6%Effective FG%58.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %27.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.2%

3.3Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boston University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoston University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.3–48.2), offensive efficiency (115.3–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.7–-4.3), recent form (11.2–2.2).

American University COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–113.1), net efficiency (4.8–2.2), ball security (15.7–17.7).

Final

American University

54—60

Boston University

Boston University by 6 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATBoston University

18-50FG20-47

36.0%FG%43.0%

6-213PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

12-13FT14-21

92.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists9

8Turnovers10

5Steals4

1Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	30	7-13	2-5	6-6	6	0	0	0	22
Elijah Stephens	Guard	35	5-8	2-3	0-1	5	2	2	0	12
Greg Jones	F	31	2-8	1-2	6-6	7	0	0	0	11
Wyatt Nausadis	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Colin Smalls	Guard	25	2-7	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Matt Mayock	F	30	0-6	0-5	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Lincoln Ball	Guard	26	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Boston University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael McNair	G	33	6-11	4-8	4-5	4	1	1	1	20
Kyrone Alexander	G	30	6-12	1-3	2-5	7	2	1	1	15
Miles Brewster	Guard	28	4-6	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	9
Malcolm Chimezie	F	20	3-4	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	7
Azmar Abdullah	G	11	0-2	0-2	5-6	0	1	0	0	5
Ben Palacios	Guard	12	0-3	0-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Ben Defty	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Ben Roy	G	26	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nico Nobili	Forward	20	0-3	0-3	0-0	6	4	0	0	0
Otto Landrum	F	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

92.2Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency92.2

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

42.0%Effective FG%48.9%

48.1%True Shooting %52.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.0%Free Throw Rate44.7%

42.0%3-Point Rate44.7%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Boston University won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.