Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.1%Lafayette

51.9%Bucknell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBucknell -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBucknell -108

Bucknell

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 72

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreBucknell 73

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricBucknell

39.6MMH Power Index35.7

102.9Offensive Efficiency99.5

110.3Defensive Efficiency112.8

-7.4Net Efficiency-13.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule2.0

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.5

67.5Tempo67.7

49.4%Effective FG%48.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.0%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

33.0%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-5.0Average Margin-8.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–35.7), offensive efficiency (102.9–99.5), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.8), net efficiency (-7.4–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-1.4), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.7).

Final

Lafayette

62—65

Bucknell

Bucknell by 3 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATBucknell

26-61FG25-62

43.0%FG%40.0%

3-173PT9-28

18.0%3PT%32.0%

7-13FT6-11

54.0%FT%55.0%

39Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists10

13Turnovers14

6Steals6

6Blocks4

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Phillips	G	37	7-13	2-5	0-0	7	0	2	1	16
Justin Vander Baan	C	39	6-8	0-1	2-5	10	3	1	5	14
Alex Chaikin	G	33	5-13	1-4	2-2	3	1	1	0	13
Caleb Williams	G	36	5-14	0-3	1-2	7	2	0	0	11
Mark Butler	G	38	1-7	0-1	2-2	2	2	2	0	4
Ryan Pettit	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Misha Bednostin	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Luka Savicevic	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Malik Rasul	F	8	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Bascoe	Guard	43	8-15	5-10	2-3	2	1	0	2	23
Noah Williamson	C	36	7-21	1-7	1-2	8	1	1	0	16
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	35	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
Ruot Bijiek	F	33	2-9	1-3	0-0	6	2	0	2	5
Brandon McCreesh	G	15	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Jayden Williams	G	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Pip Ajayi	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	1-4	1	1	1	0	3
Achile Spadone	G	40	1-4	0-2	0-0	7	1	2	0	2
Brady Muller	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

86.5Offensive Efficiency90.7

90.7Defensive Efficiency86.5

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

45.1%Effective FG%47.6%

46.1%True Shooting %48.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate19.4%

21.3%Free Throw Rate17.7%

27.9%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Bucknell won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.