East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%East Tennessee State

53.5%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -115

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 77

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreMercer 79

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricMercer

57.4MMH Power Index54.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

102.8Defensive Efficiency106.5

12.3Net Efficiency10.1

-1.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

67.4Tempo70.9

55.4%Effective FG%53.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.0%Free Throw Rate38.9%

8.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), defensive efficiency (102.8–106.5), net efficiency (12.3–10.1), strength of schedule (-1.6–-4.4).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–115.1), ball security (14.7–15.1), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

70—68

Mercer

East Tennessee State by 2 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATMercer

23-58FG23-54

40.0%FG%43.0%

9-223PT7-19

41.0%3PT%37.0%

15-23FT15-26

65.0%FT%58.0%

42Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists13

15Turnovers12

6Steals11

2Blocks1

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	37	9-16	3-7	4-4	4	5	3	0	25
Jaden Seymour	Forward	31	6-10	3-5	4-5	9	1	0	0	19
Gabe Sisk	G	29	3-9	1-2	2-4	11	2	1	1	9
DJ Hughes	Forward	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Allen Strothers	G	10	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Karon Boyd	F	17	1-7	0-2	1-3	6	0	0	0	3
Maki Johnson	G	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	22	0-2	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	1	2
John Buggs III	Guard	32	0-6	0-1	1-2	4	2	1	0	1

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Holt	Forward	36	6-10	0-0	4-6	9	1	1	0	16
Tyler Johnson	Guard	35	5-10	3-6	2-3	2	1	1	0	15
Ahmad Robinson	G	38	3-16	1-7	7-13	6	7	5	0	14
Cam Bryant	Forward	29	5-8	3-5	0-0	1	2	1	1	13
Jah Nze	Guard	16	2-5	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	6
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jah Quinones	Guard	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Brady Shoulders	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

102.6Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency102.6

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

47.4%Effective FG%49.1%

50.8%True Shooting %51.2%

22.1%Turnover Rate17.6%

39.7%Free Throw Rate48.1%

37.9%3-Point Rate35.2%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.