Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Southern Illinois

78.8%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -372

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreBelmont 81

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricBelmont

54.6MMH Power Index61.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency118.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.9Net Efficiency14.9

1.6Strength of Schedule-0.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.6Tempo70.7

49.5%Effective FG%60.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate32.7%

3.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–103.4), net efficiency (14.9–4.9), recent form (10.0–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.7), strength of schedule (1.6–-0.2), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Southern Illinois

86—90

Belmont

Belmont by 4 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATBelmont

33-66FG32-60

50.0%FG%53.0%

13-313PT9-23

42.0%3PT%39.0%

7-11FT17-20

64.0%FT%85.0%

28Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds12

22Assists16

9Turnovers13

9Steals4

2Blocks1

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	36	13-23	5-8	2-4	9	1	3	0	33
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	33	5-14	3-9	0-0	3	5	4	0	13
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	22	5-7	0-2	1-1	2	4	1	1	11
Rolyns Aligbe	F	16	3-3	1-1	2-4	4	0	0	0	9
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	24	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Drew Steffe	G	34	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	5	0	0	5
Sheridan Sharp	G	23	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	5	1	0	3
Davion Sykes	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Antwaun Massey	F	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	32	9-13	3-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	21
Brigham Rogers	F	29	7-12	0-0	3-4	9	2	1	1	17
Tyler Lundblade	G	27	4-8	3-7	3-3	2	1	0	0	14
Aidan Noyes	F	23	5-7	1-2	2-3	2	0	2	0	13
Carter Whitt	Guard	32	3-7	1-3	5-6	4	6	0	0	12
Isaiah Walker	G	36	2-4	1-2	4-4	7	3	1	0	9
Brody Peebles	Guard	14	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Win Miller	G	7	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

122.2Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency122.2

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

59.8%Effective FG%60.8%

60.4%True Shooting %64.7%

12.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

16.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

47.0%3-Point Rate38.3%

2.44Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Belmont won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.