St. Bonaventure

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.3%St. Bonaventure

88.7%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.3

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -785

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Bonaventure 70

Projected Total157.3

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 87

Team Comparison

St. BonaventureMetricSaint Louis

52.8MMH Power Index66.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

109.6Defensive Efficiency97.6

2.8Net Efficiency23.2

1.9Strength of Schedule0.3

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

67.9Tempo72.2

52.9%Effective FG%59.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

34.5%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

30.8%Free Throw Rate33.9%

1.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–52.8), offensive efficiency (120.8–112.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.6), net efficiency (23.2–2.8).

St. Bonaventure COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.9–0.3), ball security (16.8–17.1), offensive rebounding (34.5–31.6).

Final

St. Bonaventure

68—73

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 5 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. BonaventureTEAM STATSaint Louis

26-64FG25-51

41.0%FG%49.0%

4-173PT13-33

24.0%3PT%39.0%

12-14FT10-13

86.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists18

10Turnovers11

5Steals5

2Blocks4

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

St. Bonaventure

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	40	7-16	2-5	7-9	10	2	1	0	23
Noel Brown	Center	36	8-11	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	16
Lajae Jones	G	37	3-14	2-7	4-4	6	1	1	0	12
Melvin Council Jr.	G	40	5-13	0-2	0-0	4	6	1	1	10
Jonah Hinton	G	31	2-8	0-3	1-1	3	2	1	0	5
Xander Wedlow	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Noah Bolanga	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Duane Thompson	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	9-15	6-11	4-4	6	0	0	0	28
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	5-13	3-10	3-4	1	3	2	0	16
Robbie Avila	C	37	5-9	1-5	3-3	9	5	1	3	14
Kellen Thames	G	14	3-6	1-2	0-2	5	0	1	1	7
Kobe Johnson	Guard	36	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	5	1	0	6
Dylan Warlick	F	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Kalu Anya	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Kilian Brockhoff	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Amari McCottry	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

103.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency103.0

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

43.8%Effective FG%61.8%

48.1%True Shooting %63.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

21.9%Free Throw Rate25.5%

26.6%3-Point Rate64.7%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.