Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Indiana State

75.4%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -307

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 70

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreValparaiso 77

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricValparaiso

44.4MMH Power Index49.9

104.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-1.3Net Efficiency0.8

0.1Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%48.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

28.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-0.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Indiana State

95—98

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 3 • 84.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATValparaiso

35-70FG29-62

50.0%FG%47.0%

7-243PT8-18

29.0%3PT%44.0%

18-31FT32-43

58.0%FT%74.0%

41Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists10

12Turnovers12

10Steals6

2Blocks3

27Fouls22

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	42	9-18	0-4	5-10	2	7	2	0	23
Jaden Daughtry	F	22	6-9	0-0	4-7	7	1	1	0	16
K'mani Doughty	Guard	30	5-9	2-4	3-3	3	3	2	0	15
Camp Wagner	G	32	5-11	4-10	0-0	4	0	0	0	14
Aaron Gray	Forward	23	5-10	0-2	0-0	6	0	2	0	10
Josiah LeGree	G	26	2-5	0-0	4-7	1	3	0	0	8
Markus Harding	C	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	5
Jahni Summers	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Derek Vorst	C	11	0-2	0-1	1-2	7	2	1	2	1
Bruno Alocen	G	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	34	8-19	2-4	7-8	4	2	1	0	25
Cooper Schwieger	F	42	6-12	3-6	8-8	8	1	0	3	23
Tyler Schmidt	G	41	7-12	2-4	7-8	7	1	2	0	23
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	41	2-8	0-1	5-8	4	3	2	0	9
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	22	2-4	0-1	3-7	2	2	1	0	7
Isaiah Shaw	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-2	3	0	0	0	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	17	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
Devon Ellis	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Justus McNair	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

84.1Possessions84.1

113.0Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency113.0

-3.6Net Efficiency3.6

55.0%Effective FG%53.2%

56.1%True Shooting %59.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

44.3%Free Throw Rate69.4%

34.3%3-Point Rate29.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 84.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.