Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.3%Illinois State

11.7%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -755

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreEvansville 65

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricEvansville

54.3MMH Power Index31.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

9.2Net Efficiency-13.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.8

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

54.3%Effective FG%50.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

32.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

6.2Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Illinois State

51—69

Evansville

Evansville by 18 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATEvansville

18-52FG26-52

35.0%FG%50.0%

9-313PT8-24

29.0%3PT%33.0%

6-12FT9-10

50.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists15

14Turnovers9

6Steals5

1Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	25	6-9	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	14
Chase Walker	F	20	3-5	1-1	2-4	4	2	0	1	9
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	2-11	1-7	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Landon Wolf	G	23	2-5	2-3	1-2	6	1	2	0	7
Jack Daugherty	F	14	3-6	1-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	7
Jordan Davis	Guard	21	2-6	2-6	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Caden Boser	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Ty Pence	G	23	0-6	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Dalton Banks	Guard	22	0-2	0-1	0-2	1	2	2	0	0
Cade Norris	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayshawn Comer	G	40	6-13	1-4	6-7	4	5	0	0	19
Cam Haffner	G	38	5-12	4-9	0-0	0	3	1	0	14
Tanner Cuff	G	28	6-9	0-1	2-2	5	1	2	0	14
Joshua Hughes	F	34	4-7	2-5	0-0	9	1	1	0	10
Connor Turnbull	F	31	4-8	0-2	0-0	10	4	1	3	8
Gui Tesch	Guard	21	1-2	1-2	1-1	0	1	0	2	4
Kaia Berridge	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Day	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

82.5Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency82.5

-29.1Net Efficiency29.1

43.3%Effective FG%57.7%

44.2%True Shooting %60.8%

22.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

23.1%Free Throw Rate19.2%

59.6%3-Point Rate46.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Evansville won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.