Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Georgia Southern

34.8%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -187

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 79

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 76

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricGeorgia State

49.1MMH Power Index38.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency101.3

110.6Defensive Efficiency107.5

1.7Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

72.0Tempo69.5

52.1%Effective FG%45.3%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.5%Free Throw Rate37.4%

1.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.3–101.3), net efficiency (1.7–-6.2), recent form (1.7–-10.9).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.6), strength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2).

Final

Georgia Southern

78—82

Georgia State

Georgia State by 4 • 81.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATGeorgia State

31-80FG27-68

39.0%FG%40.0%

8-383PT4-20

21.0%3PT%20.0%

8-16FT24-30

50.0%FT%80.0%

44Rebounds48

17Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists12

11Turnovers13

10Steals6

7Blocks6

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adante' Holiman	G	32	6-20	2-12	5-6	3	3	2	0	19
Dontae Horne	G	20	6-9	2-4	0-0	1	2	3	0	14
Bradley Douglas	G	39	5-16	2-10	0-3	7	1	1	0	12
Eren Banks	G	27	4-10	1-4	0-1	3	2	0	0	9
Tyson Brown	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-3	14	1	0	1	9
Micah Smith	F	19	2-6	0-2	2-3	2	1	0	1	6
Eugene Brown III	Forward	30	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Avantae Parker	F	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	4	4
Nate Brafford	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Nakavieon White	F	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zarique Nutter	F	33	9-17	1-1	3-5	6	1	1	2	22
Cesare Edwards	Center	42	8-14	0-1	4-6	11	0	0	2	20
Toneari Lane	G	38	4-13	2-8	8-8	1	3	2	0	18
Jelani Hamilton	G	42	1-9	1-7	5-6	9	6	1	0	8
Nick McMullen	Forward	20	2-9	0-1	3-4	9	1	0	1	7
Malachi Brown	G	35	2-5	0-2	1-1	5	1	0	1	5
Malik Ferguson	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Clash Peters	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.4Possessions81.4

95.8Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency95.8

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

43.8%Effective FG%42.6%

44.5%True Shooting %49.8%

13.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

20.0%Free Throw Rate44.1%

47.5%3-Point Rate29.4%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 81.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.