South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%South Dakota State

83.8%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -517

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 71

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 82

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

49.6MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency116.8

106.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.7Net Efficiency14.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

68.2Tempo70.0

52.6%Effective FG%59.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.6Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (31.5–22.1).

Final

South Dakota State

72—73

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 1 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

27-58FG25-57

47.0%FG%44.0%

8-233PT13-33

35.0%3PT%39.0%

10-16FT10-16

63.0%FT%63.0%

47Rebounds25

15Offensive Rebounds4

17Assists18

13Turnovers4

2Steals6

2Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalen Garry	G	37	7-13	3-9	2-3	3	1	0	0	19
Oscar Cluff	C	32	5-7	0-0	3-6	19	7	0	0	13
Joe Sayler	G	33	4-12	0-5	4-4	3	4	0	0	12
Matthew Mors	F	26	4-8	1-1	1-3	7	3	0	0	10
Owen Larson	G	27	3-6	2-2	0-0	0	1	1	1	8
Stoney Hadnot	F	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Damon Wilkinson	C	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Jaden Jackson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Minessale	G	27	7-12	1-4	2-2	4	3	2	1	17
Drake Dobbs	Guard	27	3-8	2-6	4-4	2	5	2	0	12
Kendall Blue	G	27	3-5	2-3	2-2	0	4	0	0	10
Carter Bjerke	F	21	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	8
Rich Byhre	Forward	19	3-5	2-4	0-1	3	1	0	0	8
Ben Oosterbaan	F	13	3-8	2-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Miles Barnstable	G	30	2-9	2-5	1-2	2	2	0	1	7
Ryan Dufault	G	14	1-4	0-0	1-5	4	1	1	0	3
Ben Nau	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

112.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency112.3

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

53.4%Effective FG%55.3%

54.9%True Shooting %56.5%

20.4%Turnover Rate6.2%

27.6%Free Throw Rate28.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate57.9%

1.31Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Assist / Turnover.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.