Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -32.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -9900

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 57

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 89

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricSan Diego State

23MMH Power Index60.1

91.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

118.5Defensive Efficiency99.3

-27.2Net Efficiency11.0

6.2Strength of Schedule3.8

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.4Tempo70.8

49.0%Effective FG%53.2%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-18.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–91.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–118.5), net efficiency (11.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.8).

Final

Air Force

38—67

San Diego State

San Diego State by 29 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATSan Diego State

11-36FG25-69

31.0%FG%36.0%

5-203PT6-26

25.0%3PT%23.0%

11-22FT11-19

50.0%FT%58.0%

24Rebounds49

2Offensive Rebounds24

6Assists9

21Turnovers11

8Steals13

6Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	3-9	3-6	2-2	5	1	3	0	11
Luke Kearney	F	23	2-7	1-5	4-4	1	1	1	1	9
Kyle Marshall	G	34	2-5	0-1	2-5	1	0	1	1	6
Wesley Celichowski	C	16	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Caleb Walker	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-4	3	2	3	0	2
Sam Duskin	Guard	18	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Sam Springer	F	7	1-3	0-2	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Will Cooper	F	4	0-2	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Byron Brown	Guard	19	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	2	1
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Beau Becker	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Yoda Oke	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	23	6-10	3-5	1-2	4	1	5	0	16
BJ Davis	G	26	5-9	3-4	2-2	5	2	2	0	15
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	25	4-7	0-1	2-4	15	0	1	0	10
Magoon Gwath	F	23	3-7	0-1	2-4	5	0	0	1	8
Miles Byrd	G	21	3-10	0-5	1-1	4	2	3	2	7
Taj DeGourville	G	22	2-11	0-5	0-0	3	4	0	0	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	17	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	4
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Ryan Schwarz	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	16	0-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	3	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Desai Lopez	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

58.2Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency58.2

-44.4Net Efficiency44.4

37.5%Effective FG%40.6%

40.9%True Shooting %42.9%

32.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

61.1%Free Throw Rate27.5%

55.6%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.29Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.