Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.5%Virginia

29.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -239

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 79

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia 74

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricCalifornia

68.9MMH Power Index56.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency111.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

17.2Net Efficiency7.0

5.2Strength of Schedule2.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

67.6Tempo69.9

55.0%Effective FG%52.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

11.6Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–56.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–111.8), defensive efficiency (101.8–104.8), net efficiency (17.2–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.0), free throw rate (36.8–33.2).

Final

Virginia

61—75

California

California by 14 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATCalifornia

19-58FG22-51

33.0%FG%43.0%

7-233PT4-13

30.0%3PT%31.0%

16-18FT27-33

89.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists6

8Turnovers10

6Steals3

—Blocks5

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Andrew Rohde	G	33	6-13	0-3	2-2	4	6	2	14
Jacob Cofie	F	18	5-9	1-3	1-2	4	0	2	12
Elijah Saunders	F	30	1-8	1-4	8-8	10	1	1	11
Ishan Sharma	F	25	3-8	3-7	0-0	0	2	0	9
Blake Buchanan	F	17	1-5	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	6
Isaac McKneely	G	37	1-8	1-4	0-1	2	1	1	3
Taine Murray	Guard	19	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3
Anthony Robinson	F	4	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	3
TJ Power	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Dai Dai Ames	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	35	6-11	0-0	11-13	4	3	0	1	23
DeJuan Campbell	G	33	3-8	1-3	4-4	4	3	0	0	11
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	20	3-5	1-2	3-4	7	0	0	0	10
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	20	3-9	1-4	3-4	2	0	0	0	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	28	2-4	0-0	5-5	11	0	0	4	9
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	26	1-7	1-4	1-3	2	0	0	0	4
Rytis Petraitis	F	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	4
Lee Dort	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Christian Tucker	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Spencer Mahoney	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

94.3Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency94.3

-21.6Net Efficiency21.6

38.8%Effective FG%47.1%

45.8%True Shooting %56.2%

12.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.0%Free Throw Rate64.7%

39.7%3-Point Rate25.5%

1.38Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

California won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.