Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%Morehead State

53.5%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -115

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 75

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricLittle Rock

47.3MMH Power Index44

110.8Offensive Efficiency103.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

0.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.0Strength of Schedule0.5

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.9Tempo68.5

51.3%Effective FG%50.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate28.6%

0.5Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.8–103.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.2), recent form (3.1–-0.7).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–110.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

59—53

Little Rock

Morehead State by 6 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

22-53FG23-63

42.0%FG%37.0%

3-193PT2-12

16.0%3PT%17.0%

12-16FT5-5

75.0%FT%100.0%

35Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists5

13Turnovers14

7Steals6

2Blocks3

9Fouls13

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jerone Morton	G	40	6-14	1-5	4-4	4	2	4	0	17
Anouar Mellouk	F	23	7-10	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	14
Steven Clay	G	36	3-8	1-6	3-4	8	0	0	0	10
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	30	3-8	1-6	1-1	4	5	0	0	8
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	28	3-8	0-0	0-1	8	2	0	1	6
Dieonte Miles	Forward	27	0-4	0-0	2-4	5	2	0	1	2
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
George Marshall	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Lewis	G	34	7-15	0-3	0-0	7	1	1	0	14
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	32	5-18	1-5	1-1	9	1	1	3	12
Johnathan Lawson	G	38	5-13	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Ante Beljan	F	36	2-8	0-0	4-4	9	0	2	0	8
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	31	3-8	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	23	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Christian Hughes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

90.1Offensive Efficiency80.9

80.9Defensive Efficiency90.1

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

44.3%Effective FG%38.1%

48.7%True Shooting %40.5%

20.1%Turnover Rate21.1%

30.2%Free Throw Rate7.9%

35.8%3-Point Rate19.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.