UNC Greensboro

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%UNC Greensboro

60.3%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEChattanooga -152

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 77

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 82

Team Comparison

UNC GreensboroMetricChattanooga

46.7MMH Power Index45.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

115.3Defensive Efficiency110.5

-2.7Net Efficiency2.2

-1.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.8Tempo68.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.1%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

41.7%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-1.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.7–112.6), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.3), net efficiency (2.2–-2.7), shooting efficiency (55.1–52.8).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.7–45.9), strength of schedule (-1.9–-4.4), recent form (2.2–-0.1).

Final

UNC Greensboro

78—75

Chattanooga

UNC Greensboro by 3 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC GreensboroTEAM STATChattanooga

29-54FG31-53

54.0%FG%58.0%

11-233PT7-18

48.0%3PT%39.0%

9-13FT6-9

69.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds24

6Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists15

8Turnovers9

3Steals5

2Blocks4

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Atwell	G	33	9-11	6-7	4-4	1	0	0	1	28
Kenyon Giles	G	34	10-17	3-8	3-4	2	0	0	0	26
Ronald Polite III	Guard	36	6-14	2-3	2-4	2	3	1	0	16
Jalen Breath	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Miles Jones	Forward	23	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Joryam Saizonou	Guard	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Malik Henry	Forward	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Demetrius Davis	Forward	13	0-3	0-3	0-1	4	1	0	0	0
Muon Reath	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bash Wieland	Guard	35	9-14	1-2	3-3	5	0	0	0	22
Frank Champion	Forward	20	7-8	0-0	0-2	2	2	2	1	14
Trey Bonham	Guard	34	5-9	0-1	1-2	4	4	0	1	11
Collin Mulholland	F	18	3-7	2-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
Jack Kostel	Guard	21	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Honor Huff	G	25	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	5
Garrison Keeslar	Forward	31	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	4	2	0	4
Sean Cusano	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	0
Makai Richards	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

125.2Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency125.2

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

63.9%Effective FG%65.1%

64.8%True Shooting %65.5%

12.9%Turnover Rate14.5%

24.1%Free Throw Rate17.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.