Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.9%Vermont

37.1%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -170

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 75

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 72

Team Comparison

VermontMetricUMass Lowell

53.1MMH Power Index43.8

112.2Offensive Efficiency107.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

7.5Net Efficiency-2.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-4.6

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

65.4Tempo69.4

54.1%Effective FG%51.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

32.4%Free Throw Rate37.9%

4.9Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–43.8), offensive efficiency (112.2–107.9), defensive efficiency (104.7–109.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.1–26.8), free throw rate (37.9–32.4).

Final

Vermont

67—63

UMass Lowell

Vermont by 4 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATUMass Lowell

22-64FG18-49

34.0%FG%37.0%

7-313PT6-19

23.0%3PT%32.0%

16-21FT21-24

76.0%FT%88.0%

44Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists9

9Turnovers10

5Steals4

5Blocks3

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	36	6-13	2-8	9-10	4	1	0	0	23
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	37	6-15	2-8	3-5	11	0	2	1	17
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	30	3-11	2-8	2-4	7	0	1	1	10
Sam Alamutu	G	36	4-8	0-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	8
Seth Joba	F	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Shamir Bogues	Guard	25	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	4	0	2	2
Noah Barnett	F	15	0-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	2
Sean Blake	G	14	1-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martin Somerville	G	29	3-12	1-6	10-12	2	4	0	0	17
Max Brooks	Forward	36	4-7	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	3	9
Quinton Mincey	Guard	36	2-9	0-3	5-5	2	2	1	0	9
Xzavier Lino	Forward	16	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Yuri Covington	Guard	22	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Cam Morris III	F	19	1-4	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	0	6
Anthony Blunt	Guard	20	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Quincy Clark	Guard	22	0-3	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency101.2

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

39.8%Effective FG%42.9%

45.3%True Shooting %52.2%

13.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.8%Free Throw Rate49.0%

48.4%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Vermont won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.