Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.1%Central Arkansas

25.9%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -286

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 82

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreStetson 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricStetson

54MMH Power Index40

113.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency115.9

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.0

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

71.0Tempo68.7

54.3%Effective FG%53.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.1Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–40.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–115.9), net efficiency (8.7–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.9), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

65—75

Stetson

Stetson by 10 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATStetson

25-73FG26-50

34.0%FG%52.0%

9-393PT11-26

23.0%3PT%42.0%

6-7FT12-16

86.0%FT%75.0%

39Rebounds36

23Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists16

9Turnovers14

11Steals7

2Blocks5

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole McCormick	F	26	5-9	2-6	2-3	3	0	2	0	14
Elias Cato	Forward	31	5-17	1-5	2-2	7	0	2	0	13
Layne Taylor	G	37	3-14	3-9	2-2	3	5	2	0	11
Mike Evbagharu	G	32	5-14	1-7	0-0	10	1	2	1	11
Brayden Fagbemi	G	22	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	6
Ben Fox	Guard	20	2-7	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Diogo Seixas	Forward	18	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Nehemiah Turner	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mehki Ellison	G	35	5-10	2-5	7-8	3	3	0	0	19
Jordan Wood	Forward	28	5-8	4-6	2-2	5	2	1	1	16
Josh Massey	Forward	29	6-8	2-3	1-1	4	2	0	2	15
Abramo Canka	Guard	33	5-12	1-6	1-1	1	0	0	1	12
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	31	3-5	1-2	1-4	6	3	3	0	8
Finley Sheridan	F	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	2	1	3
Daniel Macgregor	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Blaize Sagna	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Treyton Thompson	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Stefano Alesso	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

104.8Offensive Efficiency121.0

121.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

40.4%Effective FG%63.0%

42.6%True Shooting %65.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate22.7%

9.6%Free Throw Rate32.0%

53.4%3-Point Rate52.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Stetson won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.