UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.6%UMBC

14.4%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -594

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 75

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreNJIT 64

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricNJIT

59.1MMH Power Index38.5

113.0Offensive Efficiency98.1

99.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

14.0Net Efficiency-9.1

-5.6Strength of Schedule-0.5

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

65.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%47.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

9.1Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.2), net efficiency (14.0–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.9–25.2).

Final

UMBC

87—64

NJIT

UMBC by 23 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATNJIT

31-58FG26-55

53.0%FG%47.0%

6-163PT3-13

38.0%3PT%23.0%

19-22FT9-13

86.0%FT%69.0%

27Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists9

8Turnovers20

11Steals6

3Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	33	9-14	2-3	8-8	1	5	1	0	28
Regimantas Ciunys	F	17	4-5	1-1	4-4	8	1	1	1	13
Josh Odunowo	F	31	6-10	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	12
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	21	3-6	1-2	3-3	1	2	1	0	10
Marlon Short	Guard	25	3-6	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	8
Ace Valentine	G	24	2-7	0-1	3-5	2	3	2	0	7
JC Harris	Guard	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	1	5
Louie Jordan	F	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	1	2
Tim Eze	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Devan Sapp	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chaydon Stone	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daylon Dickerson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Varghese	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Robinson	G	38	10-17	1-2	1-2	4	3	2	0	22
Tim Moore Jr.	F	31	5-10	0-1	3-3	5	0	1	2	13
Ari Fulton	G	39	5-11	1-3	0-1	9	3	0	0	11
Jordan Rogers	F	27	3-4	0-1	3-4	4	1	0	0	9
Quentin Duncan	G	16	2-6	1-3	1-2	1	0	2	1	6
John Kelly	F	17	1-3	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	0	3
Levi Lawal	Forward	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Cameron Piggee	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

118.5Offensive Efficiency87.2

87.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

31.3Net Efficiency-31.3

58.6%Effective FG%50.0%

63.6%True Shooting %52.3%

11.0%Turnover Rate27.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate23.6%

27.6%3-Point Rate23.6%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.45

Game Summary

UMBC won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.