James Madison

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%James Madison

61.7%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -161

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJames Madison 76

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreMarshall 81

Team Comparison

James MadisonMetricMarshall

52.3MMH Power Index52

110.5Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

1.1Net Efficiency4.4

1.2Strength of Schedule0.9

7.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

67.5Tempo70.7

53.3%Effective FG%55.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.6%Free Throw Rate29.7%

0.7Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.7–110.5), net efficiency (4.4–1.1), shooting efficiency (55.2–53.3), ball security (16.5–17.3).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.3–52.0), defensive efficiency (109.4–110.3), strength of schedule (1.2–0.9).

Final

James Madison

78—80

Marshall

Marshall by 2 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

James MadisonTEAM STATMarshall

30-63FG27-65

48.0%FG%42.0%

6-183PT13-24

33.0%3PT%54.0%

12-17FT13-18

71.0%FT%72.0%

43Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds11

5Assists14

13Turnovers8

5Steals10

7Blocks7

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Freeman	Guard	33	12-25	2-7	5-7	7	2	0	0	31
Xavier Brown	G	28	5-11	1-2	1-2	7	2	0	0	12
Elijah Hutchins-Everett	Center	24	3-6	0-2	5-6	6	0	0	0	11
AJ Smith	F	32	3-5	1-2	1-2	5	0	2	1	8
Bryce Lindsay	G	21	3-6	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	7
Eddie Ricks III	F	23	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	2	5
Noah Williams	Guard	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Will Lovings-Watts	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ebenezer Dowuona	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	0
Justin Taylor	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	36	9-13	7-7	2-2	4	2	1	0	27
Mikal Dawson	Guard	33	7-16	3-5	0-0	8	0	2	0	17
Cade Gibbs	Forward	20	5-8	2-5	5-5	2	2	0	1	17
Dezayne Mingo	G	40	4-15	0-1	1-2	3	4	2	0	9
Nate Martin	Forward	33	2-6	1-2	2-5	7	3	1	1	7
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	18	0-5	0-3	3-4	1	1	1	4	3
Ryan Nutter	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	0	0
Wyatt Fricks	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

110.0Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency110.0

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

52.4%Effective FG%51.5%

54.9%True Shooting %54.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate11.3%

27.0%Free Throw Rate27.7%

28.6%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.38Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Marshall won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.