Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.4%Grand Canyon

60.6%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -154

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 71

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 76

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricUtah Valley

59.8MMH Power Index59.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

99.1Defensive Efficiency97.3

10.1Net Efficiency16.1

2.0Strength of Schedule-3.3

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

69.3Tempo70.6

52.1%Effective FG%56.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

41.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

7.0Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.1), net efficiency (16.1–10.1), shooting efficiency (56.0–52.1).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.8–59.1), strength of schedule (2.0–-3.3), recent form (9.7–6.8).

Final

Grand Canyon

64—72

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 8 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATUtah Valley

24-55FG23-63

44.0%FG%37.0%

5-173PT6-19

29.0%3PT%32.0%

11-18FT20-27

61.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds17

13Assists15

14Turnovers12

10Steals6

7Blocks10

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	29	8-15	1-3	5-7	8	1	2	4	22
Ray Harrison	Guard	36	4-10	2-5	1-2	1	3	1	0	11
Collin Moore	Guard	27	2-9	1-3	4-5	4	2	2	1	9
JaKobe Coles	Forward	25	4-7	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	8
Duke Brennan	F	30	3-4	0-0	1-4	6	0	2	0	7
Lok Wur	Forward	24	3-5	1-3	0-0	6	1	1	0	7
Makaih Williams	G	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Caleb Shaw	G	9	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	34	6-14	2-4	7-9	8	0	2	2	21
Tanner Toolson	G	32	6-11	2-5	3-4	7	1	1	0	17
Carter Welling	F	29	2-10	0-3	5-8	4	2	1	3	9
Kylin Green	G	12	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Trevan Leonhardt	G	33	1-6	0-2	4-4	8	8	0	1	6
Osiris Grady	F	18	1-6	1-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	4
Ethan Potter	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	3	0	0	4
Jackson Holcombe	G	15	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	2	4
Cory Wells	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Hayden Welling	F	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

91.8Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency91.8

-11.5Net Efficiency11.5

48.2%Effective FG%41.3%

50.4%True Shooting %47.5%

20.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

32.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

30.9%3-Point Rate30.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.