Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Tarleton State

51.6%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Utah -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Utah -107

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 77

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricSouthern Utah

44.6MMH Power Index40.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.6Net Efficiency-4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

72.2Tempo72.3

49.0%Effective FG%52.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (1.6–-4.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–103.2), recent form (-3.3–-6.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.0).

Final

Tarleton State

74—66

Southern Utah

Tarleton State by 8 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

26-55FG23-50

47.0%FG%46.0%

4-143PT3-15

29.0%3PT%20.0%

18-26FT17-24

69.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists11

15Turnovers16

12Steals7

5Blocks6

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keitenn Bristow	F	34	9-14	4-5	2-6	7	2	0	1	24
Chris Mpaka	F	37	7-12	0-0	4-6	8	0	2	3	18
Izzy Miles	G	39	4-7	0-0	4-5	5	0	3	0	12
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	24	2-10	0-5	4-4	0	1	2	0	8
Jordan Mizell	G	31	2-5	0-0	2-3	8	3	1	0	6
Bubu Benjamin	G	31	2-7	0-4	2-2	3	3	4	1	6
Marty Silvera	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Ford	G	37	7-15	3-10	4-4	3	2	1	0	21
Brock Felder	F	33	6-9	0-1	2-4	7	1	3	4	14
Jeffrey Langston Jr.	Forward	13	4-7	0-0	2-4	6	1	0	1	10
Tavi Jackson	Guard	38	1-8	0-3	7-10	2	2	3	0	9
Jamir Simpson	G	37	3-6	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	0	8
Hercy Miller	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jamari Sibley	Forward	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Lorenzo Abellar	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Xavier Sykes	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kai Burdick	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malik Lamin	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

105.1Offensive Efficiency93.7

93.7Defensive Efficiency105.1

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

50.9%Effective FG%49.0%

54.9%True Shooting %53.7%

21.0%Turnover Rate23.1%

47.3%Free Throw Rate48.0%

25.5%3-Point Rate30.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.