Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.9%Northern Arizona

81.1%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -11.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -429

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreMontana 82

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricMontana

36.9MMH Power Index45.4

107.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

114.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

-7.7Net Efficiency3.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule-2.4

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

66.6Tempo71.2

53.5%Effective FG%56.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.2%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

33.6%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-5.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–36.9), offensive efficiency (108.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–114.8), net efficiency (3.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-2.4), ball security (15.8–19.2), offensive rebounding (24.0–21.9).

Final

Northern Arizona

76—81

Montana

Montana by 5 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATMontana

29-69FG31-60

42.0%FG%52.0%

7-183PT9-20

39.0%3PT%45.0%

11-16FT10-13

69.0%FT%77.0%

39Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists18

9Turnovers10

7Steals4

3Blocks5

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Jackson	G	35	9-19	1-3	3-5	5	7	1	1	22
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	36	6-21	0-6	7-9	3	4	2	0	19
Monty Bowser	G	31	4-8	3-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Carson Towt	F	31	4-9	0-0	1-2	10	4	2	0	9
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Dillan Baker	G	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Diego Campisano	F	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Oakland Fort	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ali Ragab	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	33	7-16	3-7	3-3	4	5	1	0	20
Brandon Whitney	Guard	38	5-7	2-2	4-4	2	3	0	0	16
Kai Johnson	Guard	21	5-8	1-3	1-2	5	1	1	2	12
Joe Pridgen	Guard	22	4-8	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	9
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	28	4-8	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	1	8
Money Williams	G	21	2-7	0-1	2-4	0	3	1	0	6
Austin Patterson	Guard	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Jeremiah Dargan	Guard	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Zack Davidson	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

104.3Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency104.3

-6.9Net Efficiency6.9

47.1%Effective FG%59.2%

49.6%True Shooting %61.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

23.2%Free Throw Rate21.7%

26.1%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Montana won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.