Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Northern Colorado

62.2%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -165

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 76

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricMontana State

53.7MMH Power Index53.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.9

8.4Net Efficiency9.5

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.7

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.1Tempo68.1

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

6.0Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

83—82

Montana State

Northern Colorado by 1 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATMontana State

36-63FG30-56

57.0%FG%54.0%

9-183PT9-21

50.0%3PT%43.0%

2-6FT13-18

33.0%FT%72.0%

27Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists15

8Turnovers9

4Steals6

2Blocks5

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcell McCreary	G	21	8-11	4-6	1-2	3	1	2	0	21
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	26	8-14	2-4	0-0	9	1	0	0	18
Jaron Rillie	Guard	33	6-11	2-4	1-1	6	7	1	0	15
Langston Reynolds	G	34	6-11	0-1	0-0	2	4	1	2	12
Brock Wisne	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Egan Shields	C	10	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Quinn Denker	G	22	2-6	1-2	0-3	2	0	0	0	5
Zach Bloch	G	32	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Taeshaud Jackson	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
William Humer	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	24	8-14	0-1	4-7	5	1	1	0	20
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	33	7-14	2-6	0-0	4	1	2	2	16
Patrick McMahon	G	31	5-10	2-5	1-2	3	1	0	0	13
Tyler Patterson	Guard	31	3-6	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	1	9
Brian Goracke	Forward	14	2-4	1-1	4-4	2	0	0	1	9
Jabe Mullins	Guard	29	4-5	0-0	0-0	5	5	1	1	8
Sam Lecholat	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	4-5	0	3	0	0	4
Jed Miller	G	22	1-2	1-2	0-0	7	4	2	0	3
BJ Kolly	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chika Nduka	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

123.3Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency123.3

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

64.3%Effective FG%61.6%

63.0%True Shooting %63.5%

11.8%Turnover Rate13.5%

9.5%Free Throw Rate32.1%

28.6%3-Point Rate37.5%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.